This article considers the option of using a simulation model in organizational conflict management as an intelligent analyzer of a conflict situation. It is proposed to build its own style of leadership, necessary and sufficient to successfully overcome the organizational conflict. Based on the model forecast, the manager constructs an appropriate solution within the framework of the variability of authoritarian, democratic and liberal styles of government with the help of the auxiliary variables available to him. This allows him not only to get out of the usual style of leadership, but also to choose the necessary and sufficient style in this case, to test style behavior strategies. The manager has the opportunity to use the management style that best suits the internal and external conditions of his activities. Today, managers must meet the emerging problems and the ability to solve them effectively with their stylistic variability.
Keywords: simulation model, conflict in the organization, management style, behavior strategy, manager
Organizational conflicts are a natural and integral part of any process. In modern control theory, it is proposed to use various adaptive control structures to solve such problems, in particular, with reference or configurable models in the control loop. A cognitive model of adaptive management of organizational conflicts with a configurable model in the management loop is considered. Embedding the model in the control loop allows you to integrate information about the dynamics of process characteristics. Based on information processing, a variant of controls for de-escalation of the conflict is proposed. The model in the organizational conflict management loop is essentially an intelligent conflict situation analyzer. It presents options based on the accumulated and processed information within the framework of known precedents for their solution. The core of such analyzers is a simulation model based on the system dynamics paradigm. The built simulation model allows you to evaluate and predict the impact of factors, ways to stabilize and manage organizational conflicts, taking into account the main parameters. In accordance with the concept of adaptive management, the model can be configured for the current values of the conflict situation parameters and, in accordance with the already tested options, can offer management in a specific situation. The use of the system dynamics paradigm in the model for building an effective forecast is focused on the strategic level of management.
Keywords: cognitive model, simulation model, conflict, escalation, contour, management, de-escalation, organization
The authors of the article consider external socio-economic and internal motivational factors in the formation of reproductive behavior of young families living in the Rostov region. Based on empirical data, the authors of the work conclude that young spouses occupy quite active economic positions in the region we are studying. These professional strategies have a dual effect on reproductive behavior, determining the choice of one-child family model in the region
Keywords: model, cognitive analysis, family, young family, life strategies, value orientations reproductive behavior
This article analyzes strategies to overcome the risks of a breakdown in the life of a young family. Based on the results of an empirical study conducted in the Rostov region, the authors of the article identify micro- and macro-strategies for overcoming the risks of destroying the life world of a young family within the framework of cognitive, value, and behavioral levels. The authors conclude that an important role in overcoming cognitive-value risks is given to microsocial strategies, where the family occupies key positions. Macro-social strategies are represented by the work of social institutions such as the state, the media, and education. According to the authors, the symbiosis of the selected strategies is the most effective for reducing the risks of the collapse of the life world of a young family.
Keywords: Model, cognitive model, risks, strategies for overcoming risks, family, young family, life world
The article presents the author's theoretical and methodological construct of the study of socio-political behavior of the social actor. The developed construct is based on the concept of habitus introduced into the scientific discourse by Pierre Bourdieu. The socio-political habitus in this article is understood as interiorized patterns of perception, interpretation, evaluation and action in the socio-political space, which are constantly being refined and completed under the influence of everyday social practices. Denoted epistemological problem of combining the contradictory nature of the conduct and integrity of the habitus. As a solution to the problem, such a property of habitus as hierarchy is considered. It is assumed that in the deep structures of habitus there are integral models of social dynamics, which are reproduced in socio-political relations by spontaneous coordination of social practices of many social actors. However, each social actor represents a single element of the complex model. Such social dynamic models in this article are denoted by the term "myth". On the basis of the presented theoretical model, the solution of applied problems in the management of socio-political behavior is proposed. At the same time, the authors proceed from the fact that mythological complexes in the structure of the habitus can not be eradicated or replaced, but can be overbuilt.
Keywords: political relations, model, myth, habitus, management, regulation mechanism, calibration
Research of models of formation of integration projects on the basis of points of growth reveals a number of important aspects related to the stages and management of their implementation. The focus on the formation and support of growth points essentially excludes the use of unary models in the planning and implementation of projects within the framework of national programs. In order to overcome the limitations imposed by this type of project, various integrative mechanisms are proposed. The peculiarity of the considered binary models describing the integration mechanisms is the preservation of the basic cycle of the project points of growth within the national program. However, the introduction of additional contours in the model with growth accelerators, with related or integrated projects, as well as attracted resources can reduce the risks caused by high rates of development and innovation issues. The integration potential of the binary model with the project of the growth point in the basic circuit generates a dynamic competitive advantage, i.e. a sustainable, increasing advantage over time that is not related to the amount of initial funding. This advantage generates a powerful growth cycle that can provide a significant increase in profitability over a long period of time. The integrative nature of growth point projects should be envisaged already at the planning stage of national programmes with appropriate monitoring and funding instruments.
Keywords: Decree of the President of Russia, southern Federal district, points of growth, model, project, program, integration, mechanism
The process of overcoming the risks of destruction of the life world by young spouses is studied. Methods of cognitive modeling are used. The theory of adaptive control is chosen as the basic paradigm. This allowed the study to build on the existing theoretical basis of structural analysis of adaptive systems with models in the adaptation circuit.To use the practical experience of cognitive modeling of systems with the inclusion of a person in the adaptation circuit, for example, training models based on a double feedback loop. It is proposed to use the technology of solving problems, based on the experience of past situations, namely, the technology of output based on precedents (Case-Based Reasoning, or CBR). A generalized adaptive model of reducing the risks of destruction of the life world of a young family on the basis of a double CBR – cycle is developed. The model describes the process of self-development of young spouses through continuous training in complex problem situations
Keywords: young family, life world, risk, cognitive modeling, model, precedent, adaptation
The project for creation of the first in Russia Engineering Forum of scientific and technological activities, social and technological entrepreneurship “Rozmysly” is presented, this forum develops the principles of an open public interdisciplinary electronic environment. The substantiation of the social significance of the project is given. The new project implies involving an even wider range of practitioners, research engineers, young scientists, applicants, graduate students, students and even senior pupils in scientific engineering knowledge by providing them with the opportunity to publish, read and discuss the results of promising research and development works, engineering solutions, inventions and rationalization or innovative proposals in the form of an electronic preprint. Conceptually, the project represents a new culture of scientific publications based on global and mini Internet platforms. It is shown that the basic advantage is achieved through the implementation of an open access initiative. From the date of publication, the material is available for the widest possible range of readers. The project is a kind of an interdisciplinary scientific and technological engineering forum.
Keywords: site, Internet platform, engineering forum and storage, open access, preprint, foresight
The problems of young families are analyzed. The relevance of the study of the social welfare of modern young families is shown. A cognitive model of achievement and stabilization of the social welfare of a young family was constructed on the basis of the results of the study ""The Life of a Young Family in the Rostov Region"", 2017. It is shown that the basic model of achieving social well-being is a two-loop scheme with positive feedback. Each of the contours of which corresponds to the basic characteristics: socio-cultural and economic well-being. The principal problem of the factor of satisfaction of needs is revealed. The necessity of creating a full-fledged monitoring system of the socio-economic level of a young family included in the social policy framework of the state is shown.
Keywords: young family, social welfare, system characteristic, cognitive modeling, model, two-circuit scheme, feedback
The object of system analysis is increasingly becoming a geopolitical constructs. The part of the system analysis is to focus on the classification aspects of the structural elements of such a geopolitical entity as the Black Sea-Caspian region. Classification analysis is focused on actors (players), initiating "the Great game" in the political field of the region. We propose consideration of the morphological (elementwise) of the Black Sea-Caspian region, followed by the ranking of "local" actors and building of the "crystal lattice" on a regional scale. For the study of actors we are propose to use additive and integrative approaches. First is to involve sequential consideration of three geographical sub-regions "Black Sea – Caucasus – Caspian" as sites of "place-action". The second approach comes from the impossibility of a clear definition of natural boundaries "of the Black Sea, Caucasus and Caspian basin", taken separately. The authors propose for the boundaries in a purely geographical sense to understand some of the transition area between environments and/or spaces with qualitatively and quantitatively different properties and parameters. Actually there is "overlay" above three sub-regions, their intersection, fact that "stay" of some States of this zone in several of these subregions.
Keywords: geopolitics, "the Great game", the Black Sea-Caspian region, system analysis, classification, ranking
It is shown that one of the most important elements influencing the nature of development in the region is socio-ethno-cultural landscape. The study of its characteristics suggests a wide use of methods of social simulation. The purpose of modeling is to estimate the required parameters in conditions of uncertainty, both at the planning stage and during the current administration. Theoretical solutions to this challenge are based on the use of the principle of duality, when the production and analysis of missing information about a managed object, in our case about socio-ethno-cultural landscape, the system is in the process of governance. The duality of the models appears in their dual role as research (for monitoring characteristics of socio-ethno-cultural landscape and, at the same time as the reference models for the management of development in the region. Need of approbation and problem integration of methods of the system analysis, social diagnostics and social and mathematical modeling which will make new scientific methodology of research is shown. To solve the problem of this level is proposed for effective convergence of methodological knowledge in the use of total potential informational, cognitive, and socio-humanitarian technologies.
Keywords: dsimulation, dual simulation, socio-ethno-cultural landscape, managing the development of the region
A modern trend of scientific publications development shifts toward the network environments to an even more considerable degree. In practice, the new culture of the scientific publications is forming on basis of the global and mini Internet-platforms. The discussion of the comprehension experience and overcoming the different rating problems is suggested in the context of a science webzine “Engineer bulletin of Don”. It is observed that as the position of science webzines becomes stronger in the common space of the science magazines, there is a tendency to revising their evaluation criterion. Besides, the implementation of rates or coefficients prevails, the applicability of which relative to the science webzines is exogenous, i.e. it disclaims the aims of the science webzines. The application of restrictions, worked out within the framework of the traditional paper book-printing technology, is indicated to be unpromising. A new level of the science environment systemacy is suggested to be supplemented with the formalization of scientific evaluation rations, already existing and successfully maintained de facto, within the framework of the webzines – the Internet-platforms.
Keywords: the electronic scientific journal, Internet platform, interdisciplinarity, open access, impact factor, ranking
Agent based model was developed. This model is showing processes of conflict, which is happening on the area of village Tarskoe. Conflict, which is called Osetino-Ingushskiy started in October 1992, and was not stabilized till today.
Keywords: agent base modeling, agent-based model, NetLogo
This article presents an agent-based computational model of civil violence. In the model we present variant of civil violence when central authority seeks to suppress decentralized rebellion. This model involves two categories of actors. ‘‘Agents’’ are members of the general population and may be actively rebellious or not. ‘‘Cops’’ are the forces of the central authority, who seek out and arrest actively rebellious agents. Both type of actors are having attributes and behavioral rules.
Keywords: Legitimacy, Grievance, Perceived Hardship, Risk Aversion, Jail, Neighborhood, Vision Radius, Salami Tacktics, Initial Density, Active Agent, Quiet Agent, Civil Violence, Visualization, Tension, Ripness Index.