The model of passenger traffic movement was evaluated to identify hidden patterns in the processes of passenger traffic formation using standard electronic computers with general-purpose software. Several sessions of simulating the movement of passengers between stops of urban passenger public transport, belonging to different levels of attractiveness of stops for passengers, were conducted. The features of the quasi-deterministic movement of passengers between stops of urban passenger transport that are not included in the list of stops of mass attraction of passenger traffic, and points of mass attraction of passengers are considered. Examples of typical patterns in the choice of destination stops and in the hourly flow of passengers from departure stops are given. The comparison of the number of daily visits to stops of mass attraction of passenger traffic, obtained by processing the simulation results with the initial statistical data, is carried out.

Keywords: passenger transport, passenger traffic models, passenger behavior patterns, modeling

A model of passenger traffic movement is proposed that is suitable for identifying hidden patterns in the processes of passenger flow creation. The passenger flow is divided into four components, for which separate passenger flow submodels are developed: quasi-deterministic passenger flow from leaving stops to points of mass attraction of passengers; stochastic hourly passenger flow from each arrival stop to different districts of the city; stochastic flow that models the distribution of passengers between final stops in accordance with the degree of popularity of stops; chaotic distribution of passenger traffic between stops with a small number of daily visits. The results of calculations of the quasi-deterministic passenger traffic submodel from leaving stops to points of mass passenger attraction are estimated.

Keywords: passenger transport, passenger traffic models, passenger behavior patterns, modeling